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How does our future look trough the eyes of the National Intelligence Council (NIC), one of the most influential organizations of Intelligence Community of the Untied States? The article presents, for the first time in the Armenian language literature, the main results and conclusions of the NIC Projects 2010, 2015, 2020 and 2025 in their integrity and in the context of formation and operation of the NIC itself. The determinatives of the main conclusion of the all considered Projects concerning “the new world order” and the conclusion of NIC 2025 Project (“energy will become geopolitics”) are derived. Based on the conclusions, the main challenges, which Armenia faces, are outlined.

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The current changes in the society are rather serious and carry high transformational potential, which can considerably transform the landscape of the new world. Today it is necessary to study with scrutiny the ongoing changes and to elaborate personal opinion on their utility for the society. There is nothing worse than to run after the leaders and repeat blindly their actions without taking into consideration the national peculiarities. Especially, when we have as the example a number of such “imitative” projects, and the “democracy” project, which was copied during the “perestroika” and discredited itself.
Today, there is no reasoning to repeat the historical mistakes. We do not have to create the strategies of entering the global informational communities, we should create our own National Informational Strategy, in which we should clearly distinguish the parameters necessary to enter the global community and which are profitable for Russia. Moreover, today the informational policy must be accepted as a basis for the ensuring of the informational security of the state and it has to determine the national interests and the priorities in the informational sphere. The gaining and the retention of the informational advantage, which allows dominating in the situation, must form the basis of international activity of all the state structures of the RF.

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The phenomena of stereotypical behavior are considered as adaptive mechanisms, which serve for self regulation of social order and structure. Internal ambiguity of stereotypical behavior allows solving controversies, which exist in social reality.
Adaptive function of stereotypical behavior is consequently analyzed on mega level (as a strategy of human civilization’s evolutionary development), macro level (as a modus of self-regulation of social systems), meso-level (as a specific implementation of the mentioned modus in particular adaptive mechanism) and on micro level (as an adaptive function on behavioral level in real social environment).
On all the levels of social reality stereotypical behavior plays the role of mechanism, which empowers potency of surviving for society in dramatically changing environment.

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Sergey Glinka was one of the first Russian intellectuals who conceptualized Armenian history from the point of view of the apprehension with the human civilization sources. In the periods of historical changes when the problem of the elaboration of the new approaches to the historically formed traditional values is on the agenda, the views of the intellectuals who appreciate more than five-thousand-years contribution of the Armenia to the world civilization are of special importance. It was expressed in the philosophical conceptualization by Russian theorist of literature, journalist and historian Sergey Glinka.

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Trade and crafts are urban phenomena; that’s why having centuries-old economic traditions Armenians, unlike Georgians, who mostly lived in villages, constituted an absolute majority of the population and turned a small city of Tiflis (Tbilisi) into a big centre. After the accession of Georgia to the Russian Empire (1801) economic conditions sharply changed; Russian authorities and army were not only the customers of the goods and the services but also paid for them. After Armenians appeared in common state, economic and judicial space and responded on a market demand, they began to create in a high gear new branches of trade and industry. Taking a dominant position in economy and possessing definite leverages (trade, financial and credit institutions, leather making industry, tobacco industry and etc.) they had managed the city they created for many decades, developed it, and built the houses and public buildings, theatres, schools, churches. The First World War, Turkish intervention to Transcaucasia, the emerging of Georgian “national identity” and the subsequent historical events made drastic changes; Armenian national capital, social and political and cultural elite were deported and left behind only the reminiscences of a former remarkable presence.

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From the beginning of the 1990s the importance of foreign capital in banking sectors of the most emerging economies (CEE, Latin American and CIS countries) has significantly increased as a result of liberalization policies. One of the main arguments for the liberalization and increase of foreign investments was the assertion that the internationally-diversified structure of assets of large foreign banks reduces systemic risks in the banking systems of emerging countries. However, single cases show that local depositors and other interested parties are not always taking priority of the benefits of internationally-diversified credit portfolio. The limited liability of international banks for the obligations of their subsidiary banks, and sometimes even of their foreign branches, can lead to the situation when the local subdivisions of international banks have to solve crisis situations on their own.
This article describes the peculiarities of the liability of large international banks for the obligations of their structural subdivisions depending on the chosen institutional forms of carrying out banking activities in emerging countries. Taking into account this peculiarities in the most of jurisdictions, the author suggests that while the role of foreign controlled banks is positive in the maintenance of the stability of emerging countries’ banking sectors, the only factor contributing to the decision on financial support is the desire to follow the best market practices and to prevent harm to the parent bank’s reputation. The structure of the article is as follows: after the short introduction in the second section are analysed the matters of liability of parent banks for the obligations of their subsidiary establishments; the liability of banks for the obligations of their foreign branches is concerned in the third section; finally some conclusions are made.