«We are going to talk about future”. Those are the words to open famous “Summa Technologiae” book by one of the most celebrated science-fiction writers of 20th century – and perhaps only Slavic science-fiction writer of that level - Stanislav Lemm. It is worth using those words to open our new section “Scenarios of our Future” on “Noravank” Foundation’s web-site.
Here we want to speak about our future, about the trends which shaping it already today. About the future of Armenia and the region. About the goals and issues of Armenians and the humankind. We will try to present freely and comprehensively the studies, estimations, scenarios, reflections and other materials, devoted to the future of Armenia and the world in geopolitical, political, social and economic, scientific and cultural and other aspects, which will be carried out by both “Noravank” Foundation and other organizations or individuals from Armenia and abroad.
Yes, we will have a conversation about the future. The future we must not miss.
Ara H. Marjanyan
Ph.D., Senior Scientific Researcher
The head of “Scenarios of Our Future” Task Force
31.01.2013GLOBAL TURMOIL IN THE MIDDLE RUN
By Immanuel Wallerstein
Making predictions in the short run (the coming year or two) is a fool’s game. There are too many unpredictable twists and turns in the real political/economic/cultural world.
17.01.2012WHAT ARE THE MAJOR GLOBAL ISSUES THAT WILL DEFINE 2012?
Jessica T. Mathews
Jessica Tuchman Mathews is president of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, the global think tank with headquarters in Washington, D.C., and offices in Moscow, Beijing, Brussels, and Beirut.
11.01.20128 GEOPOLITICALLY ENDANGERED SPECIES
By Zbigniew Brzezinski
With the decline of America's global preeminence, weaker countries will be more susceptible to the assertive influence of major regional powers.India and China are rising, Russia is increasingly imperially minded, and the Middle East is growing ever more unstable.
By Zbigniew Brzezinski
Not so long ago, a high-ranking Chinese official, who obviously had concluded that America's decline and China's rise were both inevitable, noted in a burst of candor to a senior U.S. official: "But, please, let America not decline too quickly."
14.09.2011JEAN BAUDRILLARD - THE SPIRIT OF TERRORISM
We have had many global events from Diana's death to the World Cup, or even violent and real events from wars to genocides.
One of the prior purposes of the states and national formations is the comprehensive evaluation of the current situation and formation of definite ideas about future developments. Currently forecasts and scenarios, which has become an important component of the political culture, are in requisition in the leading countries
24.02.2011FUTURE OF THE MUSLIM POPULATION ON THE PLANET
In January 2011 American Pew Research Center issued “The Future of the Global Muslim Population” research. The research covers period from 1990 to 2030 and it regards to all the states and territories in the world. The main conclusion is that over those 40 years the number of the Muslims will double, rising from 1.1 billion (1990) to 2.2 billion (2030).